Statewide, Clinton holds 12-point lead over native son Trump


Hillary leads in NYC and among independent voters

Trump taking upstate

Even split among suburban voters


Driven by a three-to-one lead in New York City, Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump 47 to 35 percent among all New York state registered voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday.

The latest numbers from Quinnipiac show a drop in Clinton’s lead over Trump from a March 31 poll when 53 percent of registered voters said they planned to vote for Clinton, compared to 33 percent for Trump.

Both candidates have negative favorability ratings; 41 to 52 percent for Clinton and 32 to 61 percent for Trump, the independent Quinnipiac University Poll finds.

bio-photo-35Clinton leads among all age groups, especially among voters age 34 and younger, who go Democratic 53 to 18 percent. There is a yawning gender gap, with men tipping to Trump 44 to 40 percent, while women back Clinton 54 to 28 percent.

“As Republicans rally in Cleveland and Democrats prepare for their Philadelphia convention, Hillary Clinton seems to have her adopted home state votes safely locked up,” said Quinnipiac University Poll Assistant Director Maurice Carroll.

New York City voters back Clinton 63 to 20 percent, while upstate voters go to Trump 48 to 36 percent. Suburban voters are divided, with 40 percent for Trump and 39 percent for Clinton.

“Donald Trump’s a native New Yorker. He even sounds like one, compared with Clinton’s flat Midwestern accent, but he lags by double digits in the state where they’ll both vote,” Carroll added.

“There’s a big gender gap. Women are solidly for the first woman nominee of a major party. Even though she calls Chappaqua home, Clinton trails Trump among men.”

Both candidates suffer from lower levels of same-party support than winning candidates normally receive, with Clinton leading 82 to 10 percent among Democrats, and Trump taking Republicans 76 to 9 percent. Independent voters back Clinton 41 to 35 percent.

With third party candidates in the race, Clinton gets 45 percent, with Trump at 33 percent, Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson gets 6 percent of the vote and Green Party candidate Jill Stein gets 4 percent.

about_body_imgDonald Trump’s selection of Indiana Gov. Mike Pence as his running mate was a good choice, New York state voters say 43 to 21 percent, but 59 percent of voters don’t know enough about Pence to form an opinion of him.

“Picking Pence had no noticeable effect on Trump’s New York numbers,” Carroll said.

In New York’s U.S. Senate race, Democratic incumbent Sen. Charles Schumer leads Republican challenger Wendy Long 60 to 28 percent. Schumer is ahead among every gender, age and regional group listed, and among Democrats and independent voters, while Long has a lackluster 62 to 24 percent lead among Republicans.

New York State voters approve 62 – 29 percent of the job Schumer is doing and give him a 57 to 25 percent favorability rating.

For Long, 74 percent haven’t heard enough to form an opinion of her.

As for New York’s junior U.S. senator, voters approve 56 to 22 percent of the job Kirsten Gillibrand is doing.

Meanwhile, New York state voters approve 56 to 40 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, his best score in more than three years. Approval is 70 to 25 percent in New York City and 52 to 46 percent in the suburbs, while upstate voters disapprove of the president’s job performance by 52 to 45 percent.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,104 New York state voters from July 13 to July 17, with live interviewers calling land lines and cell phones. The margin of error is 3 percentage points.